Portimonense 1-2 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.45/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.20
+20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses 20.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
4W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Feirense
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.56 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
246 Passes 289
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
27.04.2019 Portimonense Portimonense 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
22.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
16.02.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-3 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
18.09.2017 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
1-2
AWAY CD Feirense
1.03 xG 0.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
412 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense nicked a narrow win over Portimonense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; CD Feirense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense had 57% of the ball to CD Feirense's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.03 to 0.35 — on chances, Portimonense could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Portimonense and 0.60 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs CD Feirense?

Portimonense 1-2 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 34%, draw 28%, CD Feirense 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Feirense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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