Alverca 2-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.60/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.33
+68% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.4 Crosses 19.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Torreense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.44 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
209 Passes 237
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Torreense Torreense 1-0 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR2
22.11.2020 Torreense Torreense 2-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
2-2
AWAY Torreense
1.11 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
213 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca and Torreense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alverca had 46% of the ball to Torreense's 54%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.11 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torreense led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Alverca and 1.50 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Torreense?

Alverca 2-2 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alverca 40%, draw 27%, Torreense 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alverca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alverca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
14 Mar 2025
21:45 Portimonense vs CD Feirense Analysis →