Torreense 1-0 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

Torreense
1-0 HT 1-0
Alverca
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Torreense vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torreense v Alverca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.27/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.40
-30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.5 Crosses 8.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Torreense vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alverca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
22.11.2020 Torreense Torreense 2-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POK

Torreense 1-0 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-0
AWAY Alverca
0.74 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 12
237 Passes 209
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Alverca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense squeezed past Alverca 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Torreense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torreense had 48% of the ball to Alverca's 52%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Alverca?

Torreense 1-0 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torreense 38%, draw 26%, Alverca 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torreense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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