Felgueiras 1932 1-3 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.27
6+ Goals
11%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 36%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.35
-50% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 18.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-3
AWAY Maritimo
1.57 xG 1.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
105 Passes 180
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo saw off Felgueiras 1932 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Maritimo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 59% of the ball to Maritimo's 41%, shots finished 2-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo?

Felgueiras 1932 1-3 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 38%, draw 30%, Maritimo 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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