Leixoes 3-0 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 33% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.12/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.35
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.7 Crosses 18.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Porto II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 325
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
01.10.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-3 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.03.2023 Porto II Porto II 4-0 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
08.10.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
16.04.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
04.12.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
3-0
AWAY Porto II
2.20 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes swept aside Porto II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes had 50% of the ball to Porto II's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.20 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes and 1.33 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Porto II?

Leixoes 3-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 41%, draw 30%, Porto II 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
27 Oct 2024
14:00 Torreense vs Alverca Analysis →
17:00 Felgueiras 1932 vs Maritimo Analysis →