Porto II 0-2 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
+21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.3 Crosses 20.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.92 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-3 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.03.2023 Porto II Porto II 4-0 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
08.10.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
16.04.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
04.12.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
09.05.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 2-0 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
0-2
AWAY Leixoes
0.69 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes saw off Porto II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Porto II had 60% of the ball to Leixoes's 40%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.69 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Porto II and 0.50 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Leixoes?

Porto II 0-2 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Porto II 46%, draw 28%, Leixoes 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Porto II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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