Santa Clara 3-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

Santa Clara
3-0 HT 3-0
UD Oliveirense
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Santa Clara vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.51/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.62
-35% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.9 Crosses 17.9
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santa Clara vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 Passes 219
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
29.11.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense PORLC
30.07.2017 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
22.08.2015 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.04.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
09.11.2014 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2

Santa Clara 3-0 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
3-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.92 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
246 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara ran out comfortable winners over UD Oliveirense 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Santa Clara had 47% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 53%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.92 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Clara and 1.17 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs UD Oliveirense?

Santa Clara 3-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 55%, draw 25%, UD Oliveirense 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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