Benfica II 2-0 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.30/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.18
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vilaverdense
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
323 Passes 255
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-4 HT 0-3 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
2-0
AWAY Vilaverdense
1.72 xG 0.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
439 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II saw off Vilaverdense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Benfica II had 57% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 43%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Vilaverdense?

Benfica II 2-0 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 51%, draw 23%, Vilaverdense 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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