Galatasaray 4-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.1
X/1
14%
3.89
X/2
6%
21.4
X/X
8%
9.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.15
2/2
8%
17.4
2/X
6%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
2.39/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.28
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
24.5 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.97 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
355 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.02.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.10.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.01.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.08.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
20.05.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
4-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
4.06 xG 0.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
381 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Antalyaspor 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 61% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 39%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 4.06 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Galatasaray and 0.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Galatasaray 4-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 62%, draw 21%, Antalyaspor 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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