Malkiya 0-1 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
44%
2.2
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
4.92
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 44% vs market 36.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.58/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.72
-56% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +66%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY AAli FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 AAli FC AAli FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
21.04.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 2-2 HT 2-1 AAli FC AAli FC BAH
25.10.2024 AAli FC AAli FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
0-1
AWAY AAli FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC edged past Malkiya 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; AAli FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Malkiya had 54% of the ball to AAli FC's 46%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malkiya and 1.33 for AAli FC.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs AAli FC?

Malkiya 0-1 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 37%, draw 32%, AAli FC 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malkiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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