Seoul E-Land 2-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seoul E-Land EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.8 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seoul E-Land
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 381
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 3-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
31.05.2025 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 1-4 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
13.04.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 0-2 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
05.10.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
10.08.2024 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 2-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
03.03.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-3 HT 0-1 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seoul E-Land
2-3
AWAY Busan I Park
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
348 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seoul E-Land vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Seoul E-Land 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seoul E-Land had 49% of the ball to Busan I Park's 51%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seoul E-Land had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Seoul E-Land and 1.17 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Seoul E-Land vs Busan I Park?

Seoul E-Land 2-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seoul E-Land vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seoul E-Land win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Seoul E-Land 38%, draw 31%, Busan I Park 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Seoul E-Land) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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