Yongin 1-3 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Mar 2026

Yongin
1-3 HT 1-2
Gimpo Citizen
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Yongin vs Gimpo Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.58
2-3 Goals
33%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.03
6+ Goals
13%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 37% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yongin v Gimpo Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yongin EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
208 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 17.8
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Yongin 1-3 Gimpo Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yongin
1-3
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
415 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yongin vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen saw off Yongin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimpo Citizen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yongin had 57% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 43%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Yongin vs Gimpo Citizen?

Yongin 1-3 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yongin vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yongin 23%, draw 23%, Gimpo Citizen 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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