Chelsea U21 4-0 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Mar 2026

Chelsea U21
4-0 HT 3-0
Sunderland U21
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-16.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+13.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea U21 v Sunderland U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 19%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.84/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.69
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +33%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.5 Crosses 12.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Chelsea U21 4-0 Sunderland U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
4-0
AWAY Sunderland U21
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
561 Passes 272
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 swept aside Sunderland U21 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 65% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 35%, shots finished 24-11.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Chelsea U21 4-0 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 51%, draw 20%, Sunderland U21 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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