Mathare United vs Leopards SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mathare United v Leopards SC — Team-Based Signals
Mathare United vs Leopards SC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Mathare United
KEN2
Mathare United 4-1 Leopards SC — Actual Match Statistics
Mathare United swept aside Leopards SC 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Leopards SC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mathare United had 51% of the ball to Leopards SC's 49%, shots finished 17-14.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leopards SC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mathare United and 2.50 for Leopards SC.
What was the final score of Mathare United vs Leopards SC?
Mathare United 4-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Leopards SC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 28%, draw 28%, Leopards SC 44%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.