Sofapaka vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sofapaka v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals
Sofapaka vs Nairobi United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Sofapaka 0-1 Nairobi United — Actual Match Statistics
Nairobi United nicked a narrow win over Sofapaka 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nairobi United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sofapaka had 44% of the ball to Nairobi United's 56%, shots finished 6-12.
What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
Sofapaka 0-1 Nairobi United in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 19%, draw 32%, Nairobi United 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nairobi United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.