Garliava 2-0 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.41/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.47
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.09.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 2-1 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
15.04.2023 Garliava Garliava 1-1 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garliava
2-0
AWAY Lietava Jonava
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Garliava saw off Lietava Jonava 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Garliava made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Garliava had 46% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 54%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lietava Jonava led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Garliava and 1.50 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Lietava Jonava?

Garliava 2-0 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Garliava 37%, draw 30%, Lietava Jonava 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Garliava), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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