TransINVEST Vilnius 3-3 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+13.8pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.0pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.1pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 66%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.00/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/2.24
-1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
2W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
30.06.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
11.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
17.03.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3-3
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius and FK Dainava Alytus shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FK Dainava Alytus at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 51% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 49%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.00 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

TransINVEST Vilnius 3-3 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 32%, draw 17%, FK Dainava Alytus 51%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) ✗ BTTS No
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