FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 40%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.90/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+139% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-0D-1L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.06.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
11.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
17.03.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius edged past FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 0.67 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 30%, draw 28%, TransINVEST Vilnius 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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