Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zalgiris Vilnius v Hegelmann Litauen — Team-Based Signals
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Zalgiris Vilnius
LIT1
4-0
HT 3-0
Hegelmann Litauen
LIT1
0-1
HT 0-0
Zalgiris Vilnius
LIT1
Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Actual Match Statistics
Zalgiris Vilnius and Hegelmann Litauen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 65% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 35%, shots finished 19-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.33 for Hegelmann Litauen.
What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 52%, draw 23%, Hegelmann Litauen 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.