Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 54%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
1.90/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.43
+81% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +113%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-3 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
04.11.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
13.08.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
07.06.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
23.10.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
28.08.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-4 HT 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and Zalgiris Vilnius played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 2.00 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 28%, draw 27%, Zalgiris Vilnius 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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