Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.54/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.70
+7% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
17.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITK
03.09.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
02.07.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.04.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.03.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-1
AWAY FA Siauliai
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past FA Siauliai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Kauno Zalgiris made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 46% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 54%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.50 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 41%, draw 23%, FA Siauliai 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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