TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
47%
-14.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.12/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.87
-28% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +86%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
17.03.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past FK Dainava Alytus 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 34% — and on the day TransINVEST Vilnius made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.50 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 32%, draw 33%, FK Dainava Alytus 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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