Karcag SE 3-2 Budafoki MTE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karcag SE EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.63
+29% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karcag SE
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Budafoki MTE
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2025 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-0 HT 0-0 Karcag SE Karcag SE MAC2
POST-MATCH Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karcag SE squeezed past Budafoki MTE 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Karcag SE made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE?

Karcag SE 3-2 Budafoki MTE in the Hungary - NB II on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karcag SE win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Karcag SE 34%, draw 32%, Budafoki MTE 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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