Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.25/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
+23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajka
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.09.2025 Ajka Ajka 1-3 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
06.02.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-3 HT 0-3 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
15.08.2021 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka squeezed past Kecskemeti TE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kecskemeti TE at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Ajka?

Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 56%, draw 29%, Ajka 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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