Zimbru 3-2 Dacia-Buiucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
9%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
-8.9pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.5pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
3.29/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.25
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
455 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Dacia-Buiucani 2-2 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
24.08.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 0-1 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
06.07.2025 Dacia-Buiucani 0-3 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.11.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
31.08.2024 Dacia-Buiucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 1-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
3-2
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru edged past Dacia-Buiucani 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Zimbru had 53% of the ball to Dacia-Buiucani's 47%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zimbru and 0.50 for Dacia-Buiucani.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani?

Zimbru 3-2 Dacia-Buiucani in the Moldova - National League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 73%, draw 18%, Dacia-Buiucani 8%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
14 Mar 2026
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