FC Sheriff 1-0 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.39/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.28
-78% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Petrocub
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 4-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
14.09.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
20.07.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
04.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 3-1 HT 2-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
29.03.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
19.10.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-0
AWAY Petrocub
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff edged past Petrocub 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 35% of the ball to Petrocub's 65%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Sheriff and 1.17 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

FC Sheriff 1-0 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 47%, draw 30%, Petrocub 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
14 Mar 2026
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