FC Sheriff 3-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.58/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.00
-21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Petrocub
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
19.10.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
18.08.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
28.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
16.03.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
08.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
3-1
AWAY Petrocub
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff saw off Petrocub 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 48% of the ball to Petrocub's 52%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

FC Sheriff 3-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 47%, draw 30%, Petrocub 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
4 May 2025
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