FC Sheriff 1-0 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +74%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Petrocub
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
16.03.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
08.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
06.08.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
03.05.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
30.04.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-0
AWAY Petrocub
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff nicked a narrow win over Petrocub 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 49% of the ball to Petrocub's 51%, shots finished 6-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.67 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

FC Sheriff 1-0 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 48%, draw 23%, Petrocub 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
18 Aug 2024
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