Petrocub 2-1 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.3pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
08.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
06.08.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
03.05.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
30.04.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
26.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
2-1
AWAY FC Sheriff
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub nicked a narrow win over FC Sheriff 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Petrocub made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrocub had 40% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 60%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Petrocub and 1.00 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs FC Sheriff?

Petrocub 2-1 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 33%, draw 30%, FC Sheriff 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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