Zimbru 6-0 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-22.0pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.3pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+11.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.87/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/3.06
-34% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -22%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
463 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
10.11.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-3 HT 1-2 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
19.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
6-0
AWAY Sparta Selemet
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru swept aside Sparta Selemet 6-0. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Zimbru had 66% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 34%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zimbru and 0.67 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet?

Zimbru 6-0 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 60%, draw 21%, Sparta Selemet 19%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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