Zimbru 3-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.3pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.84/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.85
-23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-3 HT 1-2 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
19.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
3-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru beat Sparta Selemet 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 59% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zimbru and 0.50 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet?

Zimbru 3-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 59%, draw 27%, Sparta Selemet 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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