Alanya Kestelspor 5-1 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-6.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.87/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.11
+25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.11.2025 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-3 HT 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-2
POST-MATCH Alanya Kestelspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya Kestelspor cruised past Nazilli Belediyespor 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alanya Kestelspor as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Alanya Kestelspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Alanya Kestelspor 5-1 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanya Kestelspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanya Kestelspor win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Alanya Kestelspor 66%, draw 18%, Nazilli Belediyespor 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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