Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Crystal Palace
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
HAZ
1-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool
İNP
3-0
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
Liverpool 0-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Crystal Palace nicked a narrow win over Liverpool 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liverpool had 70% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 30%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.81 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Liverpool.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Liverpool and 0.50 for Crystal Palace.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
Liverpool 0-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 63%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.