Djurgarden 2-0 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 Apr 2024

Djurgarden
2-0 HT 1-0
IK Sirius
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.26
X/2
11%
9.0
X/X
12%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
9%
6.38
2/X
9%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.57/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.38
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
25.5 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Djurgarden vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 465
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-4 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.04.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.09.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-0 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
29.08.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
19.07.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 5-1 HT 4-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

Djurgarden 2-0 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
2-0
AWAY IK Sirius
0.62 xG 0.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
362 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden saw off IK Sirius 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 47% of the ball to IK Sirius's 53%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.62 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Djurgarden and 1.00 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs IK Sirius?

Djurgarden 2-0 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 46%, draw 27%, IK Sirius 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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