Norrköping 1-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
4%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.0
X/2
15%
6.57
X/X
9%
5.09
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
11%
4.38
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.29/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.01
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GAIS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
19.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
01.03.2014 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
01.10.2012 Norrköping Norrköping 7-2 HT 4-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.04.2012 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.09.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.04.2011 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-0
AWAY GAIS
0.47 xG 0.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
424 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past GAIS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Norrköping as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Norrköping had 51% of the ball to GAIS's 49%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.47 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Norrköping and 1.00 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs GAIS?

Norrköping 1-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 44%, draw 26%, GAIS 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norrköping), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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