Hapoel Jerusalem 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 32%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.30
+36% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
16.6 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
340 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2024 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 3-1 HT 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
26.08.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
08.08.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
2-0
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.90 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
253 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Jerusalem got the better of Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hapoel Jerusalem as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hapoel Jerusalem had 49% of the ball to Maccabi Petah Tikva's 51%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.90 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hapoel Jerusalem and 1.33 for Maccabi Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Jerusalem 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Jerusalem 45%, draw 30%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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