Hapoel Jerusalem 3-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
08.08.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
3-1
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.20 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
340 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Jerusalem beat Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Jerusalem found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Jerusalem had 52% of the ball to Maccabi Petah Tikva's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.72 — on chances, Maccabi Petah Tikva could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Petah Tikva led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hapoel Jerusalem and 1.50 for Maccabi Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Jerusalem 3-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Jerusalem 39%, draw 29%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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