Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.43
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 24% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
29%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Maccabi Haifa win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
📶 Pattern strength Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-17.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 75%
+81% / +81% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.56/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.14
+19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -42%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
191 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 529 · 86%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
6.0 Crosses 19.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 2.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 478
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 21
25.11.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 2-1 HT 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
2-2
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.16 xG 1.18
29% Ball Possession 71%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
121 Passes 426
61% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Haifa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 29% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 71%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.18.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 21%, draw 25%, Maccabi Haifa 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Haifa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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