Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-3 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
6%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Hapoel Tel Aviv win — 36%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
📶 Pattern strength Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.71/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.64
+93% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
15.9 Crosses 21.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 329
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
3-3
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
2.00 xG 2.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 54% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 46%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.00 to 2.44.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-3 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 36%, draw 32%, Bnei Sakhnin 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
3 Jan 2024
20:00 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Analysis →
21:00 Ashdod vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis →
21:15 Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa Analysis →