Deportes Iquique 2-3 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.61
+57% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.0 Crosses 17.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
1W-3D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.49
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
220 Passes 472
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2021 U. Catolica 4-4 HT 1-2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİK
23.06.2021 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
08.01.2021 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
22.02.2020 U. Catolica 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
25.02.2019 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
22.07.2018 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
2-3
AWAY U. Catolica
2.06 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
259 Passes 169
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Deportes Iquique 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 59% of the ball to U. Catolica's 41%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.06 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportes Iquique.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.83 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica?

Deportes Iquique 2-3 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 44%, draw 23%, U. Catolica 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
14 Apr 2024
00:30 Union Espanola vs CD Everton Analysis →
19:30 O Higgins vs Huachipato Analysis →
19:30 Universidad Chile vs Coquimbo Unido Analysis →
22:00 Nublense vs Palestino Analysis →