Nublense 0-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.28/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.18
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.7 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Palestino
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 Passes 271
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
29.04.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-2 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
11.09.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
10.04.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
05.12.2021 Palestino Palestino 1-4 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
21.08.2021 Nublense Nublense 2-2 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
0-2
AWAY Palestino
1.30 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
240 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino saw off Nublense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Palestino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nublense had 48% of the ball to Palestino's 52%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.30 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nublense and 1.00 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Palestino?

Nublense 0-2 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nublense 36%, draw 30%, Palestino 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nublense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
14 Apr 2024
00:30 Union Espanola vs CD Everton Analysis →
03:00 Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica Analysis →
19:30 O Higgins vs Huachipato Analysis →
19:30 Universidad Chile vs Coquimbo Unido Analysis →