Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
9%
5.0
X/2
6%
7.02
X/X
18%
5.66
2/1
13%
21.85
2/2
13%
4.43
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.44/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
-11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.80 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
517 Passes 212
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
14.09.2020 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld and Rot-Weiss Essen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 54% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 46%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 42%, draw 32%, Rot-Weiss Essen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ BTTS Yes
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