CA Sarmiento 0-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
16%
7.95
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.8
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
13%
5.77
X/X
17%
3.04
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
5.15
2/X
5%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.6pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.21
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.7 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Platense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.87 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
230 Passes 223
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
09.07.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.02.2022 Platense Platense 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.07.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
10.03.2021 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-1
AWAY Platense
0.10 xG 1.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
207 Passes 362
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
3 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense squeezed past CA Sarmiento 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Platense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 40% of the ball to Platense's 60%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.10 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.83 for Platense.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Platense?

CA Sarmiento 0-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 33%, draw 29%, Platense 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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