Huracan 4-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.16
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 40% vs market 36.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.12
X/2
12%
7.3
X/X
13%
3.82
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
6.25
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huracan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.47/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.51
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.4 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huracan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.11.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-2 HT 0-1 Huracan Huracan ARJ
07.07.2023 Huracan Huracan 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
19.06.2022 Huracan Huracan 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
24.07.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
25.03.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-1 Huracan Huracan ARJ
29.09.2019 Huracan Huracan 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huracan
4-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.79 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huracan ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Tucuman 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huracan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Huracan had 47% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 53%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.79 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Huracan and 0.50 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman?

Huracan 4-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huracan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Huracan 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Tucuman 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huracan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huracan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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