Al Fujairah 5-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.77/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.08
+21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fujairah
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Arabi
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2023 Arabi 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
15.01.2023 Arabi 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
29.04.2022 Arabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
16.01.2022 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 1-2 HT 0-2 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fujairah
5-1
AWAY Arabi
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fujairah vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fujairah cruised past Arabi 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Fujairah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fujairah had 53% of the ball to Arabi's 47%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Al Fujairah and 2.00 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Fujairah vs Arabi?

Al Fujairah 5-1 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fujairah vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Fujairah 41%, draw 28%, Arabi 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fujairah), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fujairah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE2 More UAE - 1st Division
14 Apr 2024
16:50 Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra Analysis →
16:50 Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Jazira Al Hamra Analysis →
16:50 Al-Taawon vs Al Urooba Analysis →