Al Thaid 3-2 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

Al Thaid
3-2 HT 1-1
Al Dhafra
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Thaid v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.97/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.97
-19% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
23.11.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid nicked a narrow win over Al Dhafra 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Thaid found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra?

Al Thaid 3-2 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 30%, draw 31%, Al Dhafra 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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