Holstebro BK 2-3 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.0pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.39/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.45
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lyseng
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 3-2 HT 3-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
03.09.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-3 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
03.06.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 0-2 HT 0-2 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
16.04.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 2-2 HT 0-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
01.04.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 1-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
11.09.2022 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 2-2 HT 2-2 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
2-3
AWAY Lyseng
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyseng nicked a narrow win over Holstebro BK 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Holstebro BK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 43% of the ball to Lyseng's 57%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyseng led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Holstebro BK and 1.83 for Lyseng.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Lyseng?

Holstebro BK 2-3 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 42%, draw 25%, Lyseng 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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