Holbaek 1-1 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.16/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.08
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
2W-0D-3L
AWAY VSK Arhus
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
12.08.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 0-3 HT 0-3 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.03.2021 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
26.09.2020 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
14.06.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holbaek
1-1
AWAY VSK Arhus
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek and VSK Arhus shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was VSK Arhus at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Holbaek had 40% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 60%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Holbaek and 1.40 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs VSK Arhus?

Holbaek 1-1 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 30%, draw 28%, VSK Arhus 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VSK Arhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✓ BTTS Yes
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