VSK Arhus 0-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.95/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.58
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Holbaek
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 0-3 HT 0-3 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.03.2021 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
26.09.2020 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
14.06.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 1-2 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VSK Arhus
0-1
AWAY Holbaek
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek edged past VSK Arhus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was VSK Arhus at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, VSK Arhus had 58% of the ball to Holbaek's 42%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for VSK Arhus and 0.50 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

VSK Arhus 0-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 46%, draw 26%, Holbaek 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (VSK Arhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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