Naesby 2-0 Silkeborg KFUM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg KFUM EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.50/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.19
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Silkeborg KFUM
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM 3-3 HT 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
18.03.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-0 HT 1-0 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM DAN3
08.10.2022 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM 2-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
02.04.2022 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM 2-3 HT 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Silkeborg KFUM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby saw off Silkeborg KFUM 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Silkeborg KFUM at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Naesby and 1.75 for Silkeborg KFUM.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Silkeborg KFUM?

Naesby 2-0 Silkeborg KFUM in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Silkeborg KFUM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Silkeborg KFUM win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Naesby 28%, draw 29%, Silkeborg KFUM 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Silkeborg KFUM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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